Trade in Malaysia is anticipated to rebound in 2021, investment banks say.

KUALA LUMPUR— Malaysia’s trade, backed by a recovery in global demand, especially for agricultural and manufactured goods, is expected to recover in 2021 as Covid-19 threats recede following a massive global vaccination program.

Public Investment Bank Bhd (PIVB) said in its Economic Update today that, in the midst of a pandemic that increased demand for devices such as computers and tablets for home-based work and learning, there would also be sustained global demand for information technology products.

In turn, it said, a global 5G network transition by 2025 will underpin an increase in demand for 5G-enabled products.

However, PIVB claimed that trade could continue to be weighed down by a steep reduction in production by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its oil-producing allies (OPEC+) until at least the second quarter of 2021, and by economic difficulties in advanced and major economies due to the headwinds of Covid-19, especially during the first half of this year.

A revival in new domestic Covid-19 cases that could force customers to remain cautious and continue preserving resources, as well as the confusion created by the second US-China trade talks, which may start earlier this quarter, are other potential hampering factors.

The bank noted many positive economic indicators, including a trade surplus in December 2020. “It (the surplus) remained impressive after rising to RM20.7 billion in December 2020 by 64.9 percent year-on-year, pushing the full-year surplus to RM184.7 billion, the highest on record, compared to RM146 billion in 2019,” it said.

It added that trade surpluses, powered by complete economic openings across Asean and China as well as nascent global economic recovery due to rapid Covid-10 vaccination programs, could remain sanguine in 2021.

This might, however, be offset by the anticipated turnaround in imports, as well as the uncertainty and risks emerging from the second US-China trade agreement, it said.

In its note, Maybank IB Study, meanwhile, echoed the view of a global economic recovery that would improve the commercial output of Malaysia.

It reported that both exports and imports are projected to recover by 6.0% and 7.0% respectively, with a trade surplus of RM187.8 billion in 2021.

Katherine S

1/4 German, 3/4 Malaysian. I write, follow and monitor closely political news happening in Malaysia, and other happening news in the ASEAN region. Newswriter for the best ASEAN news website - The Asian Affairs.

Recent Posts

China and UAE Celebrate 40 Years of Diplomatic Relations: All the Sectors for Partnership

Celebrating 40 years of diplomatic ties, China and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are poised to fortify an alliance that…

November 2, 2024

What’s in Store for Squid Game Season 2: New Twists, International Adaptations, and a Bold Return to the Games

Fans of the worldwide sensation Squid Game have much to look forward to this December as the show's producer, Hwang…

November 2, 2024

TWICE Joins Coldplay’s ‘Music of the Spheres’ Tour for a Seoul Spectacle in 2025

Especially when it's the internationally known British rock band Coldplay linking up with K-pop phenomenon TWICE, few events match the…

November 2, 2024

China Caught in the Crossfire: Tensions Rise as North Korea and Russia Strengthen Alliance

Tucked on a 12-story structure in northeast China, visitors flock to get a rare view of the junction of their…

November 2, 2024

Could Westeros Dragons Soon Soar into the Big Screen? ‘Game of Thrones’ Film Reportedly in Early Development

HBO's Game of Thrones has created a void in the fantasy world of television that no other show has quite…

November 1, 2024

Preparing for U.S. Election Impact: Sen. Imee Marcos Urges Self-Reliant Defense Amid Uncertain Times

Head of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, Senator Imee Marcos underlined the need of the Philippines getting ready for…

November 1, 2024

This website uses cookies.

Read More